Client Reports

Zone of Risk

December 22nd, 2015

This report introduces new analysis of financial risk in the economic cycle, highlighted by the imbalance between net wealth and national income that emerges late in the cycle.  As the economic cycle ages, the underlying demand for tangible wealth and supporting financial assets exceeds the ability of the economy to generate new financial claims to meet this demand.  This creates volatility and instability in financial markets, making a financial event that triggers an economic shock and recession more likely.

For an excerpt from this report, see Wealth, Instability and Recessions.



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