The Federal Reserve, Interest Rates & Inflation

Powell’s Job Is Harder than He Thinks

Public Policy, Politics & Governance

Public Dissatisfaction Points to a Toss-Up in 2022

The low level of national satisfaction with the United States is bad news for both parties.

How the Bright Line Between War and Peace Disappeared: An Interview with General Curtis Scaparrotti

We’re not in a position, if we choose to be a global leader, to prioritize our domestic issues over our international engagements. We’ve got to balance both.

August 3rd, 2022

Is the Fed Doing Enough?

May 9th, 2022

THE GAILFOSLER GROUP

Top Decision Makers

An Experienced Partner for Top Decision Makers

At the GailFosler Group (GFG), we advise global executives to enhance their external perspective and support strategic decision-making.

Using our deep expertise and analysis, we can:

  • Provide forward-looking analysis of global short- and long-term economic and financial trends
  • Advise on social, political, and economic dynamics that drive government policy
  • Assess government policies to identify productive paths for intervention and influence
  • Develop new approaches for understanding economic and financial systems that drive the global business environment.

Clients who work with us also gain access to the expertise of a wide-ranging group of top business and policy leaders and academic experts.

Together we help organizations remain anchored in a volatile operating environment while pursuing long-term business and public objectives.

Contact us to learn how we can help your organization.

Most Recent Client Events and Reports

CEO Dialogue – London 2019

On September 4, 2019, GFG convened a private, high level group of select CEOs, Chairmen, and top policy leaders in London to exchange and synthesize their views on key global business issues.

Growth and Uncertainty

In this report, we delve into the sources and dynamics of the global manufacturing recession now underway and the deteriorating fundamentals in the United States.

U.S. Labor Markets: How Tight, How Long?

Our assessment of the U.S. labor market’s tightness and the effects it will have on Fed policy.

Public Dissatisfaction Points to a Toss-Up in 2022

As the 2022 midterm election approaches, the media increasingly treats likely outcomes as a horse race. Most recently, Sara Palin’s loss to Mary Peltola was taken as a signal that

Inflation Policy: You Can’t Get There From Here!

Inflation Policy: You Can’t Get There From Here!

While the Fed has ostensibly dropped the term “transitory” from its public statements, its latest inflation projections show it is clinging to the notion privately. (more…)

Energy Equity in the Pursuit of Decarbonization

Energy Equity in the Pursuit of Decarbonization

Mark Finley is the fellow in energy and global oil at Rice University's Baker Institute. He has 35 years of experience working at the intersections of energy, economics and public

What Happened to the Labor Market?

What Happened to the Labor Market?

The following article is an excerpt from our most recent GFG Client Briefing, U.S. Employment Futures and Fed Policy. The pandemic shock and ensuing recovery induced seismic shifts in the

The COVID Containment Challenge

The COVID Containment Challenge

Summer has passed. Fall is here and so is the annual flu season. New cases of COVID-19 are running at about 45,000 a day in the United States and 300,000

GFG U.S. Pandemic Monitor

Our COVID-19 Monitor features automatic daily updates and charts highlighting important national and state trends. These trends include total cases, new cases, testing, and percent positives. Given recent increases in

Passive Investing Concentrates and Increases Stock Market Risk

Passive Investing Concentrates and Increases Stock Market Risk

The S&P 500 is down 12 percent in the past seven trading days ending February 27th. This is the largest concentrated decline since the financial crisis. (more…)

Approaches to Digital Taxation Splinter

Approaches to Digital Taxation Splinter

The following article is an excerpt from our fall Client Report, Digitalization: The New Tax Frontier. A foundational challenge for digital taxation is that most digital activity is attached to

Lord John Browne

Engineering Future Progress: An Interview with Lord John Browne

Lord John Browne was CEO of BP from 1995 to 2007. Under his leadership, the company grew to become the world’s first “supermajor” and took steps to acknowledge and address

Michael A. Brown

The Military Technology Challenge: An Interview with Michael Brown

Michael Brown is the Director of the Defense Innovation Unit (DIU) at the U.S. Department of Defense. With offices in Silicon Valley, Boston, Austin and at the Pentagon, DIU’s mission

U.S. Headed Toward Manufacturing Downturn, Joining Global Trend

U.S. Headed Toward Manufacturing Downturn, Joining Global Trend

Thoughts shared as we prepare our next Global Outlook report highlight a broad-based decline in manufacturing in the United States concurrent with slowdowns in most of the world’s major manufacturing

Wealth Inequality Is Not Income Inequality

Wealth Inequality Is Not Income Inequality

To date, the debate over inequality has concentrated on income inequality and solutions such as increasing the marginal tax rates for high-income individuals or increasing taxes on estates at death.